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Helping the Forecast Work For You

Keeping ahead of changes in the weather…

Weather Forecasts in Perspective:

•Outlooks are often changing (see example).

• Forecasters have a myriad of models which can present problems.

• “Wrong” forecasts reflect neither malpractice nor malfeasance.

THE GOOD NEWS…

• Changes to forecasts can often be foreseen.

• Forecasters often “tip their hand” before making forecast adjustments.

• These changes most often begin two to three days ahead of the event.

QUESTIONS TO ASK…

• Is precipitation starting earlier or later than forecast?

• Is the sky unexpectedly cloudy or clear?

• Is the wind shifting earlier or later than expected?

• How does this forecast compare to the weather of the past week and month?

•How does this forecast compare to seasonal normals?

• How did yesterday’s forecast perform?

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