Helping the Forecast Work For You
Keeping ahead of changes in the weather…
Weather Forecasts in Perspective:
•Outlooks are often changing (see example).
• Forecasters have a myriad of models which can present problems.
• “Wrong” forecasts reflect neither malpractice nor malfeasance.
THE GOOD NEWS…
• Changes to forecasts can often be foreseen.
• Forecasters often “tip their hand” before making forecast adjustments.
• These changes most often begin two to three days ahead of the event.
QUESTIONS TO ASK…
• Is precipitation starting earlier or later than forecast?
• Is the sky unexpectedly cloudy or clear?
• Is the wind shifting earlier or later than expected?
• How does this forecast compare to the weather of the past week and month?
•How does this forecast compare to seasonal normals?
• How did yesterday’s forecast perform?